The Real Problem Is…Part One

Category: Weekly Columns

Chinese birth policy

What is the biggest world problem? Some would have you believe it is Climate Change; others might say Iran, China, and/or North Korea, while others will cite Russia or corruption/dissention in our capital. Yes, those are all problems with the exception, in my opinion, of “climate change” which used to be labeled “global warming” but is simply – WEATHER.

world-fertility

No, none of these IS the biggest problems our world faces today. The biggest problem we face is genuine, serious, and impacting our world in dire ways and has implications for the future that make all those other problems pale in comparison. And, it’s happening right in YOUR bedroom.

We are NOT making enough babies in many parts of the world. Yes, we are not reproducing nearly enough to sustain human life in many parts of the world. A de-mystifying statistic that is a poke-in-the-eye to those population growth fear mongers is sadly revealing: Japan now sells more adult diapers than baby ones!

Further, if you took the entire world’s population and divided it into family groups of four, the entire world could live in Texas.

Texas could fit the entire world in its borders

“So how much land would we need to house all 7 billion of us…Upon examining the U.S., we find out that Texas has 261,797 square miles of land…Which is, in fact, more than the area we need to house all 7 billion of us at typical New York City densities. Meaning every man, woman, and child living and breathing on the face of the Earth could fit in relative comfort within the land territory of the State of Texas.”

“The other 49 states: empty. Canada? A wasteland as empty as the northern extremes of Nunavut. Europe? Empty. Asia? Nobody home. Africa, Australia, South and Central America, all the islands?  None left.  The entire world outside of Texas contains not a single living, breathing person.” Or, as I like to describe this fantasy, the entire world lives in Texas and the rest of the entire world is our farm and playground!

“…Every person in the world could live inside of Texas without overcrowding. We could all have water with just the Columbia River alone. And we could easily feed ourselves with just the farmland within the US as it exists.”

overpopulation_myth_poster-p228130659391473908tdcp_400

“Now that we have the numbers, are we really overpopulated? I would argue a resounding “NO” and I think any who say otherwise are simply not adding it up.” ~ The Overpopulation Myth

What an amazing idea? Clearly, the issue is not too many people but too much poor management of our mutual natural resources. In the United States, we have enough energy to completely be independent but the green-movement and extreme environmentalists regulate us into stagnation and worse. As for food, we cured malaria until those same environmentalists worked to ban DDT and other pesticides that killed malaria-carrying mosquitoes, thus CAUSING the revival of that horrible disease and killing literally millions.

We have a pipeline designed and ready to go, but it’s being held up by these same wackos and is taking longer to get approved than the entire time it took to prosecute World War II! No, we don’t have an over-population problem – we have a political one.

Declining World Fertility

“…According to experts’ best estimates, the total population of Earth will stop growing within the lifespan of people alive today.”

“In Germany, the birthrate has sunk to just 1.36, worse than its low-fertility neighbors Spain (1.48) and Italy (1.4). The way things are going, Western Europe as a whole will most likely shrink from 460 million to just 350 million by the end of the century. That’s not so bad compared with Russia and China, each of whose population could fall by half.” Note from author: to stay exactly break-even with population, statistically every woman must have at least 2 children, assuming all babies live, so practically the break-even point is slightly above 2.

“American media have largely ignored the issue of population decline for the simple reason that it hasn’t happened here yet.”

Over-Population

“From 1960 to 2009, Mexico’s fertility rate tumbled from 7.3 live births per woman to 2.4, India’s dropped from 6 to 2.5, and Brazil’s fell from 6.15 to 1.9. Even in sub-Saharan Africa, where the average birthrate remains a relatively blistering 4.66, fertility is projected to fall below replacement level by the 2070s. This change in developing countries will affect not only the U.S. population, of course, but eventually the world’s” ~ Slate

The CIA puts out something called The World Factbook in which there’s a page comparing the fertility rates of all 224 countries in the world. Who is where is quite illuminating. Among the top baby-making countries projected for 2014, most are in Africa. Singapore is LAST at #224. Japan is #208. The United States is #123 with a projected fertility rate of 2.01. That’s barely staying even and that is assuming every baby lives! You’ll be relieved to know the top three: Niger, Mali, and Burundi all with rates above 6.0.

”Already, more than half the world’s population is reproducing at below the replacement rate.”

“And in the long term—on the order of centuries—we could be looking at the literal extinction of humanity.”

“According to a 2008 IIASA report, if the world stabilizes at a total fertility rate of 1.5—where Europe is today—then by 2200 the global population will fall to half of what it is today. By 2300, it’ll barely scratch 1 billion (The authors of the report tell me that in the years since the initial publication, some details have changed—Europe’s population is falling faster than was previously anticipated, while Africa’s birthrate is declining more slowly—but the overall outlook is the same). Extend the trend line, and within a few dozen generations you’re talking about a global population small enough to fit in a nursing home.”

“Singapore has been encouraging parenthood for nearly 30 years, with cash incentives of up to $18,000 per child. Its birthrate? A gasping-for-air 1.2. When Sweden started offering parents generous support, the birthrate soared but then fell back again, and after years of fluctuating, it now stands at 1.9 — very high for Europe but still below replacement level.”

“In developed countries, childrearing has become a lifestyle option tailored to each couple’s preferences. Maximizing fertility is rarely a priority.” ~ Slate

Part Two

  • http://upliftingfamilies.com/ Christy Garrett

    I did my part I have three kids and three furbabies (they count right). hehehe.

    • http://www.brucesallan.com Bruce Sallan

      The problem is…more (good) people like you are NOT doing their part!

  • http://cashwithatrueconscience.com/rbblog Ryan Biddulph

    Wow, hadn’t thought of this Bruce. Interesting piece.

    • http://www.brucesallan.com Bruce Sallan

      It gets “better” in Part Two @ryanbiddulph:disqus…why is NO ONE talking about this?

  • Pingback: No, We Do NOT Have an Over-Population Problem! | Bruce Sallan Radio Show | Bruce Sallan()

  • Matt McLaughlin

    The world’s Jews, on the other hand, number around 14 million — and falling.

    Read more: http://forward.com/articles/8270/the-importance-of-marrying-in/#ixzz32jwUV12g

    • http://www.brucesallan.com Bruce Sallan

      Not sure your point @disqus_7a1TprZAwR:disqus other than Jews are also part of this “problem” given the Westernization of most Jews and that the problem is in “the West” primarily – though it really is world-wide, just most pronounced in “the West.”

      • Matt McLaughlin

        Yes, I was thinking ‘the Westernization’ of Israel>most certainly recognized as so> as time goes on there will be less Jewish Israelis to gather according to the statistic I highlighted. The topic of Israeli birthrate is huge, J Kerry(perfect example,Jewish heritage but not Jewish himself) of course understanding the inferior birthrate as courting apartheid, but condemned for mentioning it as so. Israelis who have warned about a future apartheid state include former Prime Minister Ehud Olmert and Justice Minister Tzipi Livni, the government’s chief negotiator. Now, what Israeli Jews breed and what don’t might be an issue, too. Consider when Party leader Yosef Lapid pitched his appeal to Jews from Western Europe as distinct from those from the Middle East, Eastern Europe, and Russia. He welded his call for a “secular unity government” to an appeal to “westernism,” saying that “if we let the east European ghetto and the north African ghetto take over, we will…be lost within a terrible Levantine dunghill.” Or Eli Yishai’s controversial statement about Israel and ‘white men’. Birthrate is a popular subject when discussing the future of Israel. Yes, Israel being SO western right now I am surprised neither you or Calvinist Caldwell mentions Israel and THIS subject in the News-Press. If there are less Jews to gather in the Holy Land as time proceeds somebody should inform Caldwell, the gathering of course is a precursor to the Second Coming for many Christians.

        • http://www.brucesallan.com Bruce Sallan

          @disqus_7a1TprZAwR:disqus – I can’t tell if you’re anti-semetic or just talking politics? I’m not joking…not sure I get your points. Israel is a TINY piece of land that tries to secure peace in a gigantic piece of the Middle East where hundreds of millions of non-Jews live – mostly in lousy conditions in spite of the huge natural resources they possess. They kill their own in mass numbers and oppress women horribly. To use the word “Apartheid” in the same sentence as Israel is an insult to all those who truly suffered in South Africa. Let’s not engage on this, please…my column was NOT about Israel…

          • Matt McLaughlin

            As long as Israel is Western, as you attest, then it suffers the diseases of the West. I happen to notice it being left out.ps Being called ‘anti-Semetic’ isnt a fear. I don’t agree with the development of the phrase as it does not include all Semitic peoples and I don’t communicate in code.

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  • David Weber

    I didn’t know I was killing off the human race by not having kids. My apologies, folks.

    • http://www.brucesallan.com Bruce Sallan

      I do not mean to say that everyone should have kids – as you well know David – but we do have a real problem in the human race – as real as “Global Warming” and much more imminent!

  • Evan

    Overpopulation is no myth.The issue of overpopulation is one of resource consumption and has absolutely nothing to do with how many humans you could cram into texas. It’s not that “some” would have you believe that global warming and overpopulation are serious issues, it’s that experts who are actually conducting research in those fields are concerned about them, so you probably should be too. If there are lower fertility rates in the world, it’s probably a reflection of the overall decline in genetic health that goes along with negating natural selection through modern medicine and the effect is actually magnified by overpopulation. Talk all you want about fertility rates, but you should at least acknowledge that since the industrial revolution human population has been following an exponential growth curve with alarming consistency. 7 billion is already way too many people, and a decline in numbers- not that it will happen anytime soon- would be a good thing and improve quality of life.

    • http://www.brucesallan.com Bruce Sallan

      @disqus_WKUCY9p0jt:disqus – we fully disagree…I appreciate your thoughtful comment but I think you are stuck in believing this myth…I suppose you believe in Global Warming too (as a manmade problem) – errr, I mean Climate Change (that fits everything)…

      • Evan

        Of course I do! Besides the fact that the people who study climate patterns think it is an urgent issue, it’s pretty obvious that there is a problem. What part of it is confusing to you? Do you not believe that we’re releasing large amounts of gases like CO2 and CH4 into the atmosphere, or is it that you don’t believe that these molecules absorb radiation? Maybe you’re having difficulty bridging the gap between radiative forcing and increased temperature? Check any published, peer-reviewed scientific literature- the people who are actually in the know are concerned (although I’m sure as a Dad you’re equally qualified to speak on the matter)

        • http://www.brucesallan.com Bruce Sallan

          Yes, “peer-reviewed” literature – LOL…go hang with Al Gore…he’s on your team!

          • Evan

            Haha I’d take Al Gore over your Ann Coulter any day. If you ever want to know if your opinion on anything is wrong just give it the Ann coulter test…if your views line up with hers you can probably assume you’re wrong

          • http://www.brucesallan.com Bruce Sallan

            @disqus_WKUCY9p0jt:disqus – on this we can agree! Let’s call it a draw…MEANING I’d take Ann over Al in a heartbeat…’nuff said.

          • Evan

            Yikes dude

  • Evan

    One point that you fail to mention is that for almost the entirety of human history, our population has been somewhat steady at under 1 billion. 7 billion is simply way too many people for our planet to sustain, and if any other species exhibited growth like we are we would step in and control it. The way population dynamics works is that after periods of explosive growth (like the one we recently experienced) a decline in population is a GOOD thing for overall health of that population

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  • Harry

    ”Let’s just have everyone live in Texas!” That is a HORRIBLE idea on so many levels. How would you convince people to from every country on Earth to just up sticks and get a tiny apartment in Texas? No-one would want to do that. How would everyone get along? North Koreans next door to an American family, Israelis living across the street from a Palestinian family? How would you feed, educate, police, supply, control these 7,000,000,000 people? And why must it be Texas? Why not France or Taiwan or South Africa? Because America????
    Also, who would govern this seething mass? Which government? What government type?
    Overpopulation is no joke. It is real. Whoever wrote this article obviously thinks global warming is a myth as well. If a pandemic/ apocalypse happened then THAT would be a good way to solve this problem. NOT to cram 7,000,000,000 people into a dusty, hot, desert (That also has the highest amount of Tornadoes in the US, BY THE WAY!).

    • http://www.brucesallan.com Bruce Sallan

      Harry, you missed the entire point…

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